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Draw Odds Colorado · Bear

Colorado Bear — Unit 851

Colorado Bear Unit 851 draw odds, points required, and multi-year success rate trends. Plan your tag application with real data.

20%

Draw Odds (2026)

Resident · Archery 1st Season either sex

8

Points Req.

4

Tags (Resident)

20

Applicants (Resident)

Data source: Colorado Parks and Wildlife (CPW) - Official Post Draw Recap Reports · Last updated 2026-06-09 · Verified

Archery — Historical Draw Data

Archery 1st Season either sex

Resident

Year Applicants Tags Odds % Pts Req.
2026 20 4 20% 8
2025 42 4 9.5% 9
2024 30 4 13.3% 8
2023 30 4 13.3% 7
2021 26 4 15.4% 7
2020 23 4 17.4% 5

Nonresident

Year Applicants Tags Odds % Pts Req.
2026 4 0 0%
2025 3 0 0%
2024 4 0 0%
2023 4 0 0%
2021 3 0 0%
2020 2 0 0%

Muzzleloader — Historical Draw Data

Muzzleloader 1st Season either sex

Resident

Year Applicants Tags Odds % Pts Req.
2026 31 4 12.9% 12
2025 34 4 11.8% 14
2024 28 4 14.3% 8
2023 20 4 20% 6
2021 22 4 18.2% 6
2020 12 4 33.3% 5

Nonresident

Year Applicants Tags Odds % Pts Req.
2026 6 0 0%
2025 2 0 0%
2024 1 0 0%
2021 4 0 0%
2020 1 0 0%

Rifle — Historical Draw Data

Rifle 1st Season either sex

Resident

Year Applicants Tags Odds % Pts Req.
2026 271 4 1.5% 23
2025 269 4 1.5% 23
2024 248 4 1.6% 22
2023 222 4 1.8% 22
2021 137 4 2.9% 19
2020 140 3 2.1% 18

Nonresident

Year Applicants Tags Odds % Pts Req.
2026 12 0 0%
2025 12 0 0%
2024 21 0 0%
2023 12 0 0%
2021 8 0 0%
2020 8 1 12.5% 18

Rifle 2nd Season either sex

Resident

Year Applicants Tags Odds % Pts Req.
2026 85 4 4.7% 21
2025 103 4 3.9% 18
2024 77 4 5.2% 20
2023 91 4 4.4% 16
2021 66 3 4.5% 15
2020 68 4 5.9% 15

Nonresident

Year Applicants Tags Odds % Pts Req.
2026 9 0 0%
2025 7 0 0%
2024 2 0 0%
2023 5 0 0%
2021 7 1 14.3% 16
2020 4 0 0%

Rifle 5th Season either sex

Resident

Year Applicants Tags Odds % Pts Req.
2026 94 5 5.3% 18
2025 96 4 4.2% 1
2024 98 5 5.1% 15
2023 60 5 8.3% 13
2021 38 4 10.5% 10
2020 28 5 17.9% 12

Nonresident

Year Applicants Tags Odds % Pts Req.
2026 14 0 0%
2025 13 1 7.7% 19
2024 7 0 0%
2023 6 0 0%
2021 2 1 50% 13
2020 2 0 0%

Next Steps

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current draw odds for Colorado Bear Unit 851?
The most recent published odds are 20% for resident applicants in 2026 — 20 applicants for 4 tags on the Archery 1st Season either sex hunt. The nonresident pool for that same hunt drew at 0% (0 tags, 4 applicants). Points required in 2026: 8.
How many preference/bonus points do I need for Colorado Bear Unit 851?
In 2026, this unit took about 8 points in the resident pool. The other residency pool can differ sharply. Refer to the year-by-year table for historical point requirements and trends.
Is the competition increasing for Colorado Bear Unit 851?
Competition in the resident pool for the Archery 1st Season either sex hunt looks decreasing or stable. Odds ran 13.3% in 2024 and 20% in 2026. The other pool can move the other way, so check both tables.

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